Preface |
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xv | |
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1 | (10) |
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The Subject of International Economics |
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2 | (3) |
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Patterns of International Trade |
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5 | (3) |
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The Organization of This Book |
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8 | (3) |
PART I THE BASIC MODEL OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE |
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11 | (58) |
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13 | (18) |
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14 | (6) |
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20 | (2) |
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Product Variety and Intra-Industry Trade |
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22 | (1) |
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Arguments About Free Trade |
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23 | (3) |
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26 | (5) |
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27 | (1) |
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Suggestions for Further Reading |
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27 | (1) |
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Appendix: The Box Diagram and the Contract Curve |
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28 | (3) |
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Expanded Gains From Trade With Resource Movements |
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31 | (18) |
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The Production Possibilities Schedule and Autarky Equilibrium |
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31 | (3) |
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Trade and Comparative Advantage |
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34 | (4) |
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Scale Economies and World Trade |
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38 | (1) |
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Sources of Gains From Trade: A Recapitulation |
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39 | (3) |
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Free Trade and The Behavior of Import Demand |
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42 | (2) |
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44 | (5) |
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45 | (1) |
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Suggestions for Further Reading |
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46 | (1) |
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Appendix A: Constant Returns to Scale and Increasing Opportunity Costs |
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46 | (1) |
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Appendix B: The Offer Curve Diagram |
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47 | (2) |
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Applications and Interpretations |
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49 | (20) |
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Disturbances From Abroad And The Terms of Trade |
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49 | (2) |
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Protecting Import-Competing Goods |
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51 | (2) |
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53 | (2) |
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55 | (3) |
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Wider Interpretations of the Basic Trade Model |
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58 | (4) |
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Trade and Market Structure |
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62 | (1) |
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63 | (6) |
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64 | (1) |
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Suggestions for Further Reading |
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65 | (1) |
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Appendix: The Stability Issue |
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65 | (4) |
PART II TRADE PATTERNS, INCOME DISTRIBUTION, AND GROWTH |
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69 | (104) |
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Technology and Productivity: The Ricardian Trade Model |
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71 | (20) |
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Before International Trade |
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71 | (2) |
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International Trade: The Role of Comparative Costs |
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73 | (2) |
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75 | (3) |
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International Wage Comparisons and Productivities |
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78 | (3) |
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Many Commodities and Many Countries |
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81 | (2) |
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Globalization: Productivity Shocks and Technological Spillovers |
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83 | (1) |
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84 | (2) |
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86 | (5) |
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87 | (2) |
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Suggestions for Further Reading |
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89 | (1) |
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Appendix: Transitional Unemployment |
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89 | (2) |
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Trade and Local Income Distribution: The Specific Factors Model |
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91 | (16) |
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Diminishing Returns and Factor Hires |
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91 | (1) |
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Outputs and Income Distribution: The Closed Economy |
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92 | (1) |
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The Distribution of Income with Free Trade |
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93 | (2) |
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Growth in Factor Endowments |
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95 | (2) |
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Political Economy Aspects |
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97 | (1) |
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98 | (1) |
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Alternative Interpretations: Specific Capital or Labor |
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99 | (1) |
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100 | (2) |
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102 | (5) |
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104 | (1) |
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Suggestions for Further Reading |
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104 | (1) |
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Appendix: The Transformation Schedule |
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105 | (2) |
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Factor Endownments and Trade: The 2 X 2 Heckscher-Ohlin Model |
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107 | (22) |
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The Case of Rigid Technology |
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108 | (3) |
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Flexible Technology and Autarky Comparisons |
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111 | (3) |
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The Pattern of Trade and the Distribution of Income |
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114 | (3) |
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The Heckscher-Ohlin Theorem and Empirical Trade Patterns |
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117 | (4) |
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121 | (8) |
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122 | (1) |
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Suggestions for Further Reading |
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123 | (1) |
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Appendix A: The Production Box |
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124 | (1) |
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Appendix B: Production Structures in Trade: A Review |
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125 | (4) |
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Trade, Growth, and Product Variety |
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129 | (18) |
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Trade Patterns: What to Produce |
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129 | (5) |
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Concentration in Production |
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134 | (2) |
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Economic Growth and Changing Comparative Advantage |
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136 | (1) |
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Prevalence of Intra-Industry Trade |
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137 | (1) |
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Product Variety and Intra-Industry Trade |
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137 | (6) |
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143 | (4) |
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144 | (1) |
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Suggestions for Further Reading |
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145 | (2) |
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Trade in Intermediate Goods and Factors of Production |
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147 | (26) |
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Fixed Resources and Footloose Production Processes |
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147 | (6) |
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Footloose Inputs: The Joint Role of Comparative and Absolute Advantage |
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153 | (4) |
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Factor Movements, Efficiency, and Welfare |
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157 | (3) |
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International Capital Movements: Selected Issues |
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160 | (3) |
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Multinationals and Foreign Direct Investment |
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163 | (6) |
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169 | (4) |
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171 | (1) |
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Suggestions for Further Reading |
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172 | (1) |
PART III THE THEORY AND PRACTICE OF COMMERCIAL POLICY |
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173 | (106) |
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Protection and the National Welfare |
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175 | (18) |
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The Tariff in a Small Country |
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175 | (8) |
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The Tariff in a Large Country |
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183 | (1) |
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Tariffs and Domestic Welfare |
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184 | (1) |
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Tariffs and World Welfare |
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185 | (1) |
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186 | (7) |
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187 | (1) |
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Suggestions for Further Reading |
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188 | (1) |
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Appendix: Tariffs and the Offer Curve |
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188 | (5) |
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The Political Economy of Protection |
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193 | (16) |
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The Tariff as a Device for Raising Revenue |
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193 | (2) |
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The Tariff as a Second-Best Device |
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195 | (3) |
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Tariffs, The Distribution of Income, and Rent-Seeking Activities |
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198 | (5) |
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Growth, Protection, and Welfare |
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203 | (2) |
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Protection and Unemployment |
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205 | (1) |
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206 | (3) |
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207 | (1) |
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Suggestions for Further Reading |
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207 | (2) |
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Trade Policy and Imperfect Competition |
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209 | (26) |
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Monopoly and the Gains from Trade |
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209 | (4) |
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Cartels and the Interests of Producing and Consuming Countries |
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213 | (3) |
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Monopoly and Policies of Exporting and Importing Countries |
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216 | (7) |
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Industrial Policy and Market Rivalry |
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223 | (5) |
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228 | (7) |
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230 | (1) |
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Suggestions for Further Reading |
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231 | (1) |
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Appendix: International Duopoly and National Strategy |
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231 | (4) |
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Trade Controls in Practice |
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235 | (18) |
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Tariffs: Levels and Trends |
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235 | (2) |
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Multilateral Tariff Reduction |
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237 | (3) |
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The Trend Toward ``Managed'' Trade |
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240 | (10) |
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250 | (3) |
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251 | (1) |
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Suggestions for Further Reading |
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251 | (2) |
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Preferential Arrangements and Regional Issues in Trade Policy |
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253 | (26) |
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Regional Preferences and Regional Trade |
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253 | (1) |
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Welfare Effects of Trade Preferences |
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254 | (5) |
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Preferential Arrangements in Practice |
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259 | (5) |
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Trade Problems of the Economies in Transition |
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264 | (4) |
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Trade and Growth: The Asian NICs |
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268 | (5) |
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Preferential Arrangements: New Policy Issues |
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273 | (2) |
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275 | (4) |
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277 | (1) |
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Suggestions for Further Reading |
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278 | (1) |
PART IV MONEY, INCOME, AND THE BALANCE OF PAYMENTS |
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279 | (142) |
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The Balance of Payments Accounts |
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281 | (18) |
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Breakdown of the Accounts |
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283 | (3) |
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How Individual Transactions Are Recorded |
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286 | (2) |
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288 | (2) |
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290 | (5) |
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Statistical Errors in the Payments Accounts |
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295 | (2) |
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297 | (2) |
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297 | (2) |
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The Foreign Exchange Market and Trade Elasticities |
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299 | (16) |
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The Flow of Supply and Demand for Foreign Exchange |
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299 | (6) |
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Empirical Effects of Devaluation on the Trade Balance |
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305 | (3) |
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308 | (7) |
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309 | (3) |
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Suggestions for Further Reading |
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312 | (1) |
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Appendix: Stability of the Foreign Exchange Market |
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312 | (3) |
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National Income and the Trade Balance |
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315 | (20) |
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The Small-Country Keynesian Model |
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315 | (3) |
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The National Saving-Investment Identity |
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318 | (1) |
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319 | (3) |
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322 | (2) |
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The Two-Country Keynesian Model for a Large Country |
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324 | (6) |
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330 | (5) |
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331 | (2) |
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Suggestions for Further Reading |
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333 | (2) |
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Spending and the Exchange Rate in the Keynesian Model |
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335 | (28) |
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Transmission of Disturbances |
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335 | (3) |
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Expenditure-Switching and Expenditure-Reducing Policies |
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338 | (7) |
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345 | (7) |
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352 | (11) |
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352 | (3) |
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Suggestions for Further Reading |
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355 | (1) |
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Appendix A: The Laursen-Metzler-Harberger Effect |
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355 | (5) |
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Appendix B: The Assignment Problem |
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360 | (3) |
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The Money Supply, The Price Level, and the Balance of Payments |
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363 | (38) |
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The Nonsterilization Assumption |
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363 | (5) |
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The Purchasing Power Parity Assumption |
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368 | (12) |
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Purchasing Power Parity in a Hyperinflation |
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380 | (3) |
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The Monetarist Model of the Balance of Payments |
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383 | (7) |
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390 | (11) |
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391 | (2) |
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Suggestions for Further Reading |
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393 | (1) |
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Appendix A: The Gold Standard |
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393 | (4) |
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Appendix B: Reserve Flows After Spending Increase and Devaluation |
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397 | (4) |
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Developing Countries and Other Small Open Economies with Non-Traded Goods |
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401 | (20) |
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402 | (3) |
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Expenditure and the Relative Price of Non-Traded Goods |
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405 | (6) |
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The Monetary Approach with Non-Traded Goods |
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411 | (6) |
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417 | (4) |
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418 | (1) |
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Suggestions for Further Reading |
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419 | (2) |
PART V INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MARKETS AND THEIR MACROECONOMIC IMPLICATIONS |
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421 | (158) |
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The Globalization of Financial Markets |
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423 | (34) |
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424 | (2) |
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The Foreign Exchange Market |
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426 | (6) |
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432 | (8) |
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440 | (9) |
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449 | (8) |
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449 | (1) |
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Suggestions for Further Reading |
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450 | (1) |
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Appendix: The Theory of International Capital Flows |
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450 | (7) |
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The Mundell-Fleming Model with Partial International Capital Mobility |
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457 | (22) |
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459 | (3) |
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Fiscal Policy and the Degree of Capital Mobility under Fixed Rates |
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462 | (2) |
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Monetary Policy and the Degree of Capital Mobility Under Fixed Rates |
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464 | (2) |
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When Money Flows Are Not Sterilized |
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466 | (2) |
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Other Automatic Mechanisms of Adjustment |
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468 | (1) |
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The Pursuit of Internal and External Balance |
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469 | (3) |
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472 | (7) |
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473 | (1) |
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Suggestions for Further Reading |
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473 | (1) |
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Appendix: Zones of Internal and External Balance |
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473 | (6) |
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Fiscal and Monetary Policy Under Modern Financial Market Conditions |
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479 | (22) |
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Fiscal Policy Under Floating: An Effect Mitigated by Capital Mobility |
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480 | (6) |
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Monetary Policy Under Floating: An Effect Enhanced by Capital Mobility |
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486 | (3) |
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Policy Under Perfect Capital Mobility |
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489 | (9) |
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498 | (3) |
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499 | (1) |
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Suggestions for Further Reading |
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500 | (1) |
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Crises in Emerging Markets |
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501 | (34) |
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Inflows to Emerging Markets |
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501 | (7) |
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508 | (1) |
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509 | (6) |
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515 | (2) |
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517 | (3) |
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Contractionary Effects of Devaluation |
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520 | (6) |
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526 | (3) |
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Reform of International Financial Architecture |
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529 | (3) |
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532 | (3) |
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Suggestions for Further Reading |
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532 | (3) |
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Interdependence and Policy Coordination |
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535 | (18) |
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International Transmission of Disturbances Under Floating Exchange Rates |
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535 | (5) |
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Econometric Models of the Interdependent World Economy |
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540 | (5) |
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International Macroeconomic Policy Coordination |
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545 | (5) |
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550 | (3) |
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550 | (1) |
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Suggestions for Further Reading |
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551 | (2) |
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553 | (26) |
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The Aggregate Supply Relationship |
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553 | (8) |
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Supply Relationship with Indexed Wages |
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561 | (3) |
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564 | (2) |
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Alternative Anchors for a Country's Money |
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566 | (3) |
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The Choice of Exchange Rate Regime |
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569 | (7) |
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576 | (3) |
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577 | (1) |
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Suggestions for Further Reading |
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578 | (1) |
PART VI THE DETERMINATION OF EXCHANGE RATES IN INTERNATIONAL ASSET MARKETS |
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579 | |
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Expectations, Money, and the Determination of the Exchange Rate |
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581 | |
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Interest Rate Parity Conditions |
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581 | |
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The Monetarist Model of Exchange Rates, With Flexible Prices |
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583 | |
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Two Examples of the Importance of Expectations |
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593 | |
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Overshooting and the Real Exchange Rate |
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597 | |
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Two More Examples of the Importance of Expectations |
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609 | |
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613 | |
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614 | |
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Suggestions for Further Reading |
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615 | |
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Exchange Rate Forecasting and Risk |
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617 | |
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Forecasting the Spot Exchange Rate |
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617 | |
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The Role of Exchange Risk |
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623 | |
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Portfolio Balance Effects on the Exchange Rate |
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627 | |
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632 | |
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632 | |
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Suggestions for Further Reading |
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634 | |
Supplements for Selected Chapters |
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S-1 | |
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Supplement to Chapter 2: The Equations of Exchange Equilibrium |
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S-3 | |
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Supplement to Chapter 3: Real Incomes, Production, Elasticities, and the Trade Pattern |
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S-4 | |
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Supplement to Chapter 4: Stability and Comparative Statics in the Basic Trade Model |
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S-10 | |
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Supplement to Chapter 6: The Specific-Factors Model of Production |
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S-17 | |
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Supplement to Chapter 7: The Two-Sector Heckscher-Ohlin Model |
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S-23 | |
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Supplement to Chapter 10: Real Incomes, Prices, and the Tariff |
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S-28 | |
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Supplement to Chapter 11: Tariffs, Growth, and Welfare |
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S-33 | |
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Supplement to Chapter 12: Imperfect Competition, Trade Restrictions, and Welfare |
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S-40 | |
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Supplement to Chapter 16: Import and Export Elasticities |
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S-44 | |
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Supplement to Chapter 19: The Monetarist Two-Country Model of the Balance of Payments |
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S-44 | |
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Supplement to Chapter 25: The Locomotive Theory |
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S-48 | |
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Supplement to Chapter 26: Real Wage Indexation |
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S-51 | |
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Supplement to Chapter 27: The Monetary Model of the Exchange Rate |
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S-52 | |
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Supplement to Chapter 28: The Optimally Diversified Portfolio |
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S-56 | |
Index |
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I-1 | |