| Preface |
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xiii | |
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What is Population Viability Analysis, and How can it be Used in Conservation Decision-Making? |
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1 | (14) |
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Potential Products and Uses of PVA |
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2 | (6) |
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Types of Population Viability Analysis |
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8 | (2) |
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10 | (2) |
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Our Modeling Philosophy: Keep it Simple |
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12 | (3) |
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The Causes and Quantification of Population Vulnerability |
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15 | (36) |
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Mean Vital Rates and Population Viability |
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16 | (2) |
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Temporal Variability in Vital Rates |
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18 | (18) |
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Other Processes Influencing Viability |
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36 | (7) |
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Quantifying Population Viability |
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43 | (8) |
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Count-Based PVA: Density-Independent Models |
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51 | (48) |
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Population Dynamics in a Random Environment |
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52 | (6) |
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The Relationship between the Probability of Extinction and the Parameters μ and σ2 |
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58 | (6) |
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Using Count Data to Estimate the Population Growth Parameters μ and σ2: An Illustration Using the Yellowstone Grizzly Bear Census |
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64 | (15) |
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Using Estimates of μ and σ2 to Calculate Probability of Extinction |
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79 | (8) |
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Using Extinction Time Estimates |
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87 | (2) |
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Key Assumptions of Simple Count-Based PVAs |
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89 | (7) |
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96 | (3) |
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Count-Based PVA: Incorporating Density Dependence, Demographic Stochasticity, Correlated Environments, Catastrophes, and Bonanzas |
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99 | (52) |
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100 | (27) |
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Combined Effects of Demographic and Environmental Stochasticity |
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127 | (6) |
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Environmental Autocorrelation |
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133 | (8) |
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Catastrophes, Bonanzas, and Other Highly Variable Effects |
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141 | (5) |
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146 | (1) |
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Appendix: An Overview of Maximum Likelihood Parameter Estimation |
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147 | (4) |
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Accounting for Observation Error in Count-Based PVAs |
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151 | (30) |
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Potential Sources of Observation Error |
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152 | (3) |
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Considerations for Reducing Observation Error before a Census is Initiated |
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155 | (2) |
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Quantifying Observation Errors while a Census is being Conducted |
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157 | (1) |
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Correcting for Observation Errors after the Census Data have been Collected |
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158 | (21) |
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A Directory to more Advanced Methods for Estimating Parameters in the Face of Observation Error |
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179 | (2) |
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Demographic PVAs: Using Demographic Data to Build Stochastic Projection Matrix Models |
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181 | (34) |
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Overview of Procedures for Building Projection Matrices |
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182 | (1) |
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Step 1: Conducting a Demographic Study |
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183 | (3) |
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Step 2: Establishing Classes |
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186 | (10) |
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Step 3: Estimating Vital Rates |
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196 | (8) |
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Step 4: Building the Projection Matrix |
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204 | (6) |
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Putting it all Together: Estimating Projection Matrices for Mountain Golden Heather |
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210 | (5) |
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Demographic PVAs: Using Projection Matrices to Assess Population Growth and Viability |
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215 | (36) |
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Structured Populations in a Deterministic Environment |
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217 | (11) |
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Growth and Extinction Risk of Structured Populations in a Variable Environment |
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228 | (23) |
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Demographic PVAs Based on Vital Rates: Removing Sampling Variation and Incorporating Large Variance, Correlated Environments, Demographic Stochasticity, and Density Dependence into Matrix Models |
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251 | (74) |
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Estimation and Construction of Stochastic Models Based on Vital Rates |
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253 | (21) |
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Simulations to Estimate Population Rate and Extinction Risk |
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274 | (31) |
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Simulating Demographic Stochasticity |
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305 | (5) |
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Including Density Dependence in Matrix Models |
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310 | (15) |
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Using Demographic PVA Models in Management: Sensitivity Analysis |
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325 | (48) |
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The Basic Idea of Sensitivity Analysis |
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326 | (5) |
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Sensitivity Analysis for Deterministic Matrices |
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331 | (20) |
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Sensitivity Analysis for Stochastic Matrix Models |
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351 | (18) |
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Sensitivity Analysis for Density-Dependent Models |
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369 | (4) |
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Population Dynamics across Multiple Sites: The Interaction of Dispersal and Environmental Correlation |
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373 | (30) |
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Terminology for Multi-Site PVAs |
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375 | (1) |
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Multi-Site Processes and Data Needs |
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375 | (23) |
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A Schematic Breakdown of Multi-Site Situations |
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398 | (4) |
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Using Occam's Razor in Multi-Site PVAs |
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402 | (1) |
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Methods of Viability Analysis for Spatially Structured Populations |
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403 | (40) |
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403 | (20) |
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423 | (9) |
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432 | (8) |
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Using Multi-Site PVAs with Care |
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440 | (3) |
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Critiques and Cautions: when to Perform (and When Not to Perform) a Population Viability Analysis |
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443 | (12) |
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Critiques and Criticisms of PVA |
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444 | (6) |
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General Recommendations and Cautions for Conducting a Population Viability Analysis |
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450 | (4) |
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454 | (1) |
| Appendix: Mathematical Symbols Used in this Book |
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455 | (4) |
| Literature Cited |
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459 | (13) |
| Index |
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472 | |